Presentation Type

Poster

Full Name of Faculty Mentor

Jordan Roberts, Intelligence and Security Studies

Major

Intelligence & National Security Studies

Presentation Abstract

This study examines the way non-state actor involvement affects the outcome of international crises. This was tested by looking at a set of international crises from 1987 through 2017. We find that the involvement of a non-state actor in an international crisis is associated with a greater likelihood of the crisis terminating via agreement or unilateral act, and a reduced likelihood of a crisis fading away. Additionally, we find that non-state actors who engage in direct fighting as a part of the crisis are further associated with negotiated and unilaterally-imposed outcomes, but that non-state actors who control territory are less associated with a reduction in the likelihood of a crisis fading away indecisively than other non-state actors.

Start Date

13-4-2023 12:00 PM

End Date

13-4-2023 2:00 PM

Disciplines

Defense and Security Studies | Political Science

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Apr 13th, 12:00 PM Apr 13th, 2:00 PM

Non-State Actors and International Crisis Outcomes, 1987-2017

This study examines the way non-state actor involvement affects the outcome of international crises. This was tested by looking at a set of international crises from 1987 through 2017. We find that the involvement of a non-state actor in an international crisis is associated with a greater likelihood of the crisis terminating via agreement or unilateral act, and a reduced likelihood of a crisis fading away. Additionally, we find that non-state actors who engage in direct fighting as a part of the crisis are further associated with negotiated and unilaterally-imposed outcomes, but that non-state actors who control territory are less associated with a reduction in the likelihood of a crisis fading away indecisively than other non-state actors.

 

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