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Volume Number

39

Issue Number

1

Abstract

We analyze the now-infamous 2010 South Carolina Democratic Senate primary. Despite almost no campaigning, political newcomer Alvin Greene defeated an incumbent state representative running for the seat. Using precinct-level data, we analyze the racially homogenous precincts in South Carolina to determine where and how Greene attracted enough support to win the nomination. Despite conjecture that Greene was a Republican plant, we find that Greene won a majority of the non-white vote, while narrowly losing the white vote. Greene's victory involved a bi-racial coalition in a predominantly black electorate. Greene's surprise win also underscores the weakness of the South Carolina Democratic Party today.

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